Centerra Gold Valuation

CGAU Stock  USD 17.33  0.15  0.86%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Centerra Gold shows a prevailing Real Value of $16.14 per share. The current price of the firm is $17.33. Our model approximates the value of Centerra Gold from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 2.97 B, profit margin of 0.26 %, and Return On Equity of 0.18 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Centerra Gold's valuation include:
Price Book
1.8216
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.301
Price Sales
2.7481
Forward PE
10.8696
Overvalued
Today
17.33
Please note that Centerra Gold's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Centerra Gold is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Centerra Gold's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Centerra Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 17.33, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.33 Real  16.14 Target  15.75 Hype  17.36 Naive  15.52
The intrinsic value of Centerra Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Centerra Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
16.14
Real Value
19.42
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Centerra Gold helps investors to forecast how Centerra stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Centerra Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on Centerra Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.280.400.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0817.3620.64
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.130.130.14
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.3315.7517.48
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Centerra Gold's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Centerra Gold's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Centerra Gold's closest peers.

Centerra Gold Cash

754.29 Million

Centerra Gold Total Value Analysis

Centerra Gold is currently forecasted to have valuation of 2.97 B with market capitalization of 3.53 B, debt of 20.11 M, and cash on hands of 723.34 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Centerra Gold fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.97 B
3.53 B
20.11 M
723.34 M

Centerra Gold Investor Information

About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Centerra Gold last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 25th of May 2006. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Centerra Gold's historical financial statements, Centerra Gold is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to report excellent financial results in March.

Centerra Gold Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Centerra Gold has an asset utilization ratio of 53.62 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.54 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Centerra Gold is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Centerra Gold Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Centerra Gold's financial statements, Centerra Gold is yielding more profit at the present time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate likelihood of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Centerra Gold's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2005-03-31
Previous Quarter
68.6 M
Current Value
292.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
121.4 M
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Centerra Gold's Net Profit Margin is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.46 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 333.6 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.460.36
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For Centerra Gold profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Centerra Gold to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Centerra Gold utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Centerra Gold's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Centerra Gold over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Centerra Gold Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Centerra Gold is estimated to be 0.395 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.28 to a high of 0.49. Centerra Gold's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.61. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Centerra Gold is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Centerra Gold is projected to generate 0.395 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Centerra Gold earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Centerra Gold EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Centerra Gold's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Centerra Gold, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Centerra Gold Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Centerra Gold's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Centerra Gold is estimated to be 0.395 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.28 to a high of 0.49. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Centerra Gold is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.28
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.395
0.49
Highest

Centerra Gold Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Centerra Gold's value are higher than the current market price of the Centerra Gold stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Centerra Gold is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Centerra Gold's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1266.34%
0.0
0.395
1.61

Centerra Gold Ownership Allocation

Centerra Gold holds a total of 201.77 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Centerra Gold outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Centerra Gold to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Centerra Gold. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Centerra Gold as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Centerra Gold Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.21 B. Net Income was 80.39 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 478.37 M.

Centerra Gold Past Distributions to stockholders

About Centerra Gold Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Centerra Gold's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Centerra Gold based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Centerra Gold. We calculate exposure to Centerra Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Centerra Gold's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit554.3 M333.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.08  0.12 
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.46 

Centerra Gold Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.17 Billion

Centerra Gold's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Centerra Gold's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Centerra Gold can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Centerra Gold represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Centerra, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Centerra Gold Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Centerra Gold's Dividend Payout Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to gain to 1.85 in 2026, whereas Dividends Paid is likely to drop slightly above 43.5 M in 2026. . Retained Earnings is likely to drop to about 712.5 M in 2026. Earnings Yield is likely to drop to 0.04 in 2026
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid50 M43.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.62  0.65 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.51  1.85 
There are various types of dividends Centerra Gold can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Centerra shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Centerra Gold directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Centerra pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Centerra Gold by the value of the dividends paid out.

Centerra Gold Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Centerra Gold does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding216.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y9.906
Forward Price Earnings10.8696

Centerra Gold Current Valuation Indicators

Centerra Gold's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Centerra Gold's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Centerra Gold, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Centerra Gold's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Centerra Gold's worth.

Additional Tools for Centerra Stock Analysis

When running Centerra Gold's price analysis, check to measure Centerra Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centerra Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Centerra Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centerra Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centerra Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centerra Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.